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Month: November 2017

E-Commerce Boom in China

Online Sales in China exceeded USD 366B in 2016, almost comparable to e-commerce sales in the United States (360B in 2016).  Note that online retail is “only” about 8.5% of the overall retail market in the United States. According to Fortune Magazine, Amazon was 34% of the US e-commerce market.  However, China is an entirely different story. Amazon barely makes an appearance among the big e-commerce contenders.  Taobao – an e-Bay like electronic market place owned by Alibaba commands a lion’s share of the China e-commerce market. Perhaps, even more, impressive is the scale of vertical integration of mobile payment systems with their corresponding e-commerce websites.  For instance, the largest third-party payment system, Alipay, the mobile payment arm of Alibaba, has…

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Roaming Workforce: A review of Nomadland

Where do temporary e-commerce workers come from? I noticed that Jessica Bruder’s Nomadland, a book I enjoyed reading earlier in November, was listed in the NYTimes 100 Notable Non-Fiction books of 2017.  Well-deserved recognition for the book. I recommend the book review by the sociologist Arlie Hochschild, who has written several deeply informative books on the nature of work and life in America. Here is an excerpt from Dr. Hochschild’s review.  Moving “like blood cells through the veins of the country,” Jessica Bruder writes, a growing number of older people, post-recession refugees from the middle and working class, are, like Linda, crossing the land in their Jeeps, campers and repurposed buses in search of work. … Other nomads “pick raspberries in Vermont, apples in…

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A Post Black-Friday Post

I always thought that the term Black Friday, originated when retail firms turned “red” to “black”. Due to the heavy seasonality in sales, the existence of this term always made sense, especially for Retail firms. Through Kevin Drum at Mother Jones, I learned that history is more complicated. But, most interesting for the readers of this blog: The term originated in Philadelphia, probably sometime in the 50s, and wasn’t in common use in the rest of the country until decades later. From Wanamaker’s Department Stores to trying to Amazon HQ2 to Philly, Retail has changed a lot here.

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How to Watch Star Wars with your kids?

[A deviation from usual Operations Posts]. Star Wars is easily the second biggest cultural export of the United States.  (Disney is No 1.  So it seems natural that Disney eventually acquired the rights to Star Wars). Parents often want to share the excitement of the mythology of Star Wars with young kids. This is not easy for those who lived through the nostalgia of the 80s that was nearly corrupted by the tragedies of the 90s prequels.  Such parents often ponder the following question: In what order do I introduce Star Wars to my kids? The following advice follows from my experience. (Caveat: I don’t claim to be the biggest fan of Star Wars, and the following idea is definitely…

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Saturn’s Demise and U.S. Cars in Japan

Japanese automakers are heading towards 40% of the US market share based on reporting by  WSJ and Nikkei Asia Review.   Given the information, it seems reasonable to ask why US automakers do not do so well in the Japanese market. Alana Semuels, who does excellent reporting on business and society in the Atlantic Magazine, asks precisely that question: Why Aren’t U.S. Cars Popular in Japan? It is not due to tariffs. She finds that one possible reason is the high Quality of Service at Japanese dealerships which focus on Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) (providing services such as free servicing, pick up and return services, and individual attention, etc.) and the low investment of US Auto companies in dealership service networks in…

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Where have all the Retail Jobs gone?

Bloomberg has an excellent article on Retail Apocalypse, filled with some neat data visualizations, which I highly recommend.  (Read the whole thing!) While media and political discussions have generally focused on the outsourcing of manufacturing jobs (e.g. Carrier, Rexnord, etc.) and the death of certain industries (coal, mining – which actually hire relatively fewer people than retail), I have always thought that there has been relatively little attention on Retail Jobs that have been lost in the past few years. For sure, Retail has been undergoing an accelerated sea-change due to the growth of e-commerce, historic suburban over-storing decisions, and the influence of changing customer tastes. However, at the heart of this crisis, is the loss of retail jobs and…

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Value of Early Information

  In analyzing Snap Spectacles, I discussed the value of early information, and argued how collecting early information is helpful. Production lead times for hardware products are long, and hence firms have to make huge commitments based on forecasts even before the demand starts trickling even as the product is being manufactured. Ideally, a firm would like its total production volume to match the final demand exactly. Being able to revise this production commitment can be a significant advantage.  Even a small amount of initial demand can help correct orders or validate decisions with high confidence. Some recent data about VA 2017 elections from NY Times is useful in thinking about this problem in a different context. Below is a…

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